What Crack is on Both Sides of the North Atlantic?

01/02/2017 - 18:56

What Crack is on Both Sides of the North Atlantic?
Just as in the last century in Europe was wandering some ghost, now on both sides of the North Atlantic is a deafening crash. That is not a natural disaster. It`s falling apart at the seams ideological framework that ruled the planet in the last quarter of a century. All the more evident is the disappointment of the peoples of the countries - the flagships of the "new world order".
It is primarily the United States, France, Britain and Germany. Let us briefly focus on each of them.

2017 as the litmus test for Georgia

16/01/2017 - 15:57

The anti-Russian forces in the West at the cost of incredible efforts are holding discontent of the peoples of their countries. The anger of voters is caused by deterioration of relations with Russia, irresponsible policy in the Middle East and the Maghreb, which flooded Europe with hundreds of thousands of frightened and aggressive migrants.

Elections in the United States, France, Bulgaria and Moldova have shown that people, who are still free to choose their leaders, reject Russophobia. They want to see in leading positions those politicians who promise to rollback from a dangerous policy that led the world to the brink of a large-scale war.

The bankrupted world political forces (only yesterday the all-powerful ones) have relied not only on the anti-Russian hysteria inflation, but also on discrediting the politicians who oppose them in the countries of the Western world. Their rhetoric, becoming more stupid and sounding more plaintive, is the evidence how they are scared, disoriented, catching at the last straw.

At the time, they were able to seize a number of states with the help of traitors to pretend patriots and nationalists. However, over the past period, the people have realized that the colorful slogans were a hoax, and politicians who came to power on a wave of the "colored" and off-colored revolutions do not think about the welfare of the people, but perform the functions of colonial administrations, providing to pumping out to the West the national wealth of the voluntary colonies led by them.

Georgia is not an exception.

In Georgia live the hard-working people who reached excellent financial results in the years of Soviet power. There were hundreds of industrial enterprises in the country, which made much of profit. The almost universal employment along with agricultural development allowed providing one of the highest rates of living standards. However, in the late 1980s - early 1990s appeared public organizations, which advocated the break with the Soviet Union and rapprochement with the West, primarily with the United States, membership in NATO. In 1991 Georgia proclaimed "the blockade of the Soviet Union", which led in fact to self-blockade of Georgia, rapture of economic ties with industrial partners and subcontractors. At the same time bloody wars were unleashed against South Ossetia and Abkhazia. The positions of the moderately corrupted Soviet officials were occupied by people deprived of the slightest moral principles who rushed to privatize and appropriate everything they could. This led to a severe economic collapse.

In the early 2000s in response to Saakashvili's promise to transform Georgia into a powerful anti-Russian bridgehead, the West rendered an unprecedented economic, technological and intellectual assistance to Georgia, which made it possible to some extent, to smooth the impact of mediocre, and even harmful economic policy of the authorities. Subsequently, however, the West appreciated the low worth of Georgia in its anti-Russian aspirations that had an impact on the amount of funding.
As the "Georgian economic miracle" was not based on the achievements of the Georgian economy, but on the direct cash flows, it is not surprising that the economic situation in Georgia became more complex. On the New Year's Eve the rate of the national currency plummeted against the US dollar. For a few months GEL depreciated by almost 50 percent. The devaluation hurt the low-income groups, which are 2/3 of the number of inhabitants of the country. In the difficult situation were those who took loans in foreign currency.

The Government led by Kvirikashvili developed a program of budget subsidies, but what results it could bring under condition of GEL depreciation and general rise in price. It should be stressed the energy prices (electricity and fuel): firstly, they are imported from other countries and their price depends on the exchange rate; secondly, the increase in prices leads to higher prices for goods of local production.

After intensive efforts for two decades, aimed at the collapse of its economy (as the bankruptcy, conversion and even the closing of each enterprise oriented to Russia was presented as breaking another "slave circuit"), Georgia is increasingly losing the signs of the producing country, becoming a consumer, the food basket of which is formed mainly by imported products.

Georgian "virtual prosperity bubble" is gradually deflating. The economy is not able to cope with problems that arise due to the lack of the real sector. The government is trying to take urgent measures, mending holes in the budget, not realizing that the problem is systemic, and it is impossible to solve it in a short time: because it requires systemic reforms, overcoming the conditions that were being formed for a quarter of a century!

As we know from the course of high school, the economic base has a direct impact on the political superstructure.

In political terms, the main event last year was the parliamentary elections, showing the division of society into two parts. "Georgian Dream" achieved more than a convincing victory over the main opposition party "United National Movement". Six mandated went to the party "Alliance of Patriots of Georgia". Many believe this party "pro-Russian". At the same time, the pro-Western "Republicans" and "Free Democrats" suffered a catastrophic defeat.

The extremely low turnout reflects not only the disappointment of the major part of the population in the political course of the country, but also a lack of faith in changing the heavy political realities by a simple voting. In principle, one can understand them.

However, the Georgian Foreign Minister Janelidze considers it very successful. But he has no choice - he is forced to adhere to the official position of his leadership. A main information component in the Georgian foreign policy is in advertising of the supposedly successful promotion of the issue on introduction of visa-free regime between Georgia and the European Union member states. Can this be considered a successful example of foreign policy is a moot point. Because in fact, the Georgian authorities commit in this matter quite a crude substitution of concepts. In fact, since 1988, starting the promotion of Georgia's withdrawal from the Soviet Union, the people of Georgia were promised the abolition of the visa regime as an obstacle to labor activity of citizens of Georgia in the rich countries of the West and, accordingly, the possibility of getting high salaries. And now we are talking only about the abolition of visas, but not about the permission to work in Europe.

That is, citizens of Georgia will be able to travel to Europe without a visa, saving on this four-day and 20 Euros. They will be able to spend their money in Europe. However, they will not be able to work and earn money.

Was it worth to destroy the economy, science, education system, inherited from the Soviet Union, to spoil relations with South Ossetia, Abkhazia and Russia?

The topic of NATO membership is also increasingly shrouded in mist, especially after the coming to power of the new U.S. President Donald trump. In Georgia, there is a strange situation, when everyone understands that it is impossible to join the alliance in the foreseeable future, but no one dares to talk aloud about it.

Georgia is risking remaining alone with all its problems. The pompously advertised Western assistance is reduced to organization of concerts and visits of not quite adequate politicians like Senator McCain. The latter, probably competing with Nuland, who handed out cookies in Kiev, during the New Yes`s holiday handed out rolls to residents of the Georgian villages bordering on South Ossetian territory.

For the Georgian leadership it is increasingly difficult to cope with the economic and political situation in the country. Especially difficult is to explain to the people the failure of pursuing a policy of the "West" to the detriment of relations with its historic neighbors. This is not the failure of the Georgian leadership: in fact it is not an independent subject of politics, but only the object of the impact of external forces – primarily the Western. It says about the failure of the policy of tough confrontation, pursued by the West led by the United States from Carter to Obama.

Georgia will be able to avoid unwanted consequences, if its leadership adopts a more independent, pragmatic position that meets the interests of the Georgian people.

2017 will show whether the healthy forces in the Georgian society can convey to the authorities the acknowledgement of the disastrous confrontation with the historic allies in the light of changes in the world political arena. At the same time we will see whether the Georgian political class is in solidarity with the people of the US and European countries, who have said to the confrontation the resounding "No!

About visas and carrots or disappointment of Georgia in the European integration idea

29/12/2016 - 15:32

After Donald Trump won the presidential election, and in the United States and in Western Europe are louder the voices of supporters of refusal of suitcases without handles in the form of useless East European border countries, including Georgia. These sentiments are reinforced with the strengthening of the global economic crisis, when the Western democracies have to think more about their own population than to support regimes hostile to Russia.

In Georgia are trying to save face with a completely deplorable economic situation in the country. Despite the optimistic statements of the Cabinet of Ministers about the soonest resolution of financial difficulties, the population increasingly feels the problems associated with the collapse of the economic policy. This indicates the reasonableness of disturbing attitudes in the Georgian leadership.

The Parliament has recently approved the state budget for 2017. Trying to patch holes in it, it had to close many social projects. It is planned to abolish some budgetary organizations. But it is the heightened attention to the social problems of the population that was one of the main pre-election trumps of the current Georgian leadership.

Thousands of ordinary people across the country come to protest against government plans to significantly increasing the rates of taxes on petroleum products, imported cars and cigarettes from January 1, 2017.

Dissatisfaction with the tax increase on cigarettes is easily converted to a joke by the statement about the fault of smokers themselves, who will have more incentive to quit smoking. However, drawing the eye towards the petroleum and petroleum products as a whole, we can see that the situation is far from comic.

The excise tax per ton of gasoline is expected to increase from 250 GEL to 500 GEL (approximately 200 USD.), diesel fuel - from 150 GEL to 400 GEL and for 1 thousand cubic meters of gas fuel for vehicles - from 80 GEL to 200 GEL. Customs clearance of imported cars with right-hand drive will raise three times and the excise tax on tobacco - 1.5 times. At the same time a lot of money for various international military exercises of Georgia and NATO are allocated regularly.

National Bank of Georgia from October 12 stopped intervening in the foreign exchange market. Since that day, GEL exchange rate against the US dollar has fallen by 13.8%. And since November 2014 it fell by 51% that is GEL devaluated by more than half. Moreover, unlike Russia, it happened without any sanctions, on the contrary, with the benevolent attitude and generous economic aid from the US and EU countries.

The population of Georgia has been sidelined from financial flows, is experiencing understandable frustration with the current situation. The extreme dissatisfaction and resentment causes awareness of the initial falsity of the most advertised goals of almost all the power-holding political forces that ruled Georgia from the first minute of collapse of the Soviet Union to the present day.

Among them a prominent place is occupied by the lack of real progress in the European integration promised in the mid 80's. But this is the backbone of advocacy structures, on which, was based a powerful ideological concept of Georgia's withdrawal from the Soviet Union, that has ruled the minds of all sectors of the Georgian society from politicians and academics to cooks and hairdressers.

"We will travel to Europe without visas. We will work there and receive European salaries, "- broadcast at rallies and on TV democrats and anti-Soviets.

For this purpose, Georgia destructed its Soviet industry, broken off economic ties with the Russian industrial enterprises, launched a bloody war against Ossetia and Abkhazia, provoked irreconcilable confrontation with Russia.

However, instead of being grateful Georgia saw with amazement the reluctance of Europe to open wide its arms. Georgians saw that the famous Hollywood smile without which Western officials do not even take a shower, is only a mask hiding the true attitude and true intentions of white European colonizers against the gullible natives.

However, the authors of the Western concepts did not take into account, in general, quite a high percentage of educated and able to think critically the Georgian population. As a result, for more than a quarter-century observation Georgians come to a conclusion disappointing for Europeans. The part of supporters of rapprochement with Russia is gradually increasing, though it is not so impressive - 15%. Former active critic of Russia Nino Burjanadze believes that the current authorities are doing too little, and that it is necessary to establish closer cooperation with Russia on a wide range of issues at the highest level. She says that "without this Georgia will never resolve its major problems."

But the majority of Georgians continues (or rather, through inertia than according to conviction) running after the carrot, which is hung on a string in front of them by European Union. However, some part of the Georgian population is tired of this quarter of a century cross. Therefore the EU has decided to give them the carrot ...to "sniff": Georgia is promised visa liberalization.

But for pity's sake! Why only the liberalization? For almost 30 years, they promised the complete abolition of visas, visa-free regime between Georgia and Europe!

What will it give the citizens of Georgia? Is it the right to work in Europe and receive the extremely high salaries, in comparison with the Georgian ones?

Not at all.

Please be quiet.

Gently and carefully roll up lips, comrades the euro integrators.

Visa liberalization does not imply the right to work in Europe, but only to spend money there earned at home. However, everybody has this "right", even the residents of South Ossetia and Abkhazia. That is, in fact, all that the citizens of Georgia will receive is a penny saving on payment of consular fee and time to visit the consulate. If you compare this tiny plus with a very wide and very long minus – the width from South Ossetia to Abkhazia, and the length of nearly 30 years - it becomes clear the whole enormity of the deception that befell Georgia.

Any unbiased observer can see that positive changes in the economic situation in Georgia are possible only in the context of non-hostility with South Ossetia and Abkhazia, the restoration of relations with its traditional, for centuries-proven partners, and, first and foremost, with the Russian Federation.

In Georgia is growing number of people who see it.

And their voices sound louder.

Inal Pliev, international expert of IA "Res"

The impact of the wave of Russophobes` defeat in the US and Europe on the internal processes in Georgia

24/12/2016 - 13:02

Many observers have noted that there are certain processes in the world which signify the attitude of the nations to the recent global political processes. Georgia is not the exception, which is sensitively reacting to the information and political, as well as ideological propaganda impulses coming from the NATO.

In the United States suffered a failure the policy of confrontation with Russia pursued by the group of Obama - Clinton. Due to the anti-Russian policy of the French President Francois Hollande has dramatically declined his rating, which deprived him of the opportunity to run for a second presidential term. Direct presidential elections in Bulgaria and the Republic of Moldova led to the victory of Rumen Radev and Igor Dodon supported by the followers of maintaining good relations with Russia. Against this background in Georgia is rapidly losing its popularity the party of Mikheil Saakashvili - United National Movement (UNM).

The refusal of Saakashvili`s wife Sandra Roelofs to participate in the second round of parliamentary elections in fact is connected with the decline of the party. The party leadership has come to the conclusion that even the personal involvement of the spouse of the head of the party will not contribute to strengthen the shaky confidence of the electorate. For political reasons it was preferred ambiguity in this matter to the apparent defeat of such icon as Sandra Roelofs.

United National Movement, the lion's share of funding of which comes from abroad, despite the estrangement from its founding father Mikhail Saakashvili, continues to maintain its policy of escalation of the situation in the Caucasus.

In the social network has filtered the information that during the preparations for the parliamentary elections, the top of the UNM hoped to receive the support of the Wahhabi part of the population of the Pankisi gorge of Georgia. And, in the light of the existing close contacts and the exchange of statements full of mutual courtesy between Saakashvili and Aslan Maskhadov, this information is credible. Reportedly, the party activists met with the leaders of Islamist groups. In addition, in the interests of UNM there are some Georgian organizations, similar in structure and methods of work with the Ukrainian "Right sector". What this means for the Georgian society we can judge by the example of Kiev`s "Maidan", when by orders from abroad neo-fascist thugs are ready to drown in blood their own people.

The analysis of the Georgian media allows making a conclusion about the split in UNM. Although Georgia does not need another revolution, but revolutionary rethinking of the traversed path, the differences within this major party are not strategic, but tactical. One part wants to dissociate themselves from the former president. Another, on the contrary, is trying to hold the all-party Congress to challenge the election results and the announcement of further support of Saakashvili. If both camps fail to agree, UNM as a serious political force may cease to exist.

However, the agreement is still a long way off. And is it possible any compromise, if a few days ago 20 employees of the central office of UNM were released from the job. According to the official version, this is due to the reduction in the party financing by 100 thousand GEL. However, for such major parties it is not such a significant amount to be reduced. In fact, from the UNM are forced away supporters of Mikhail Saakashvili.

While UNM went bankrupt in the most important areas of its policy, which was carried out when he was in power, the reality is that currently in Georgia does not exist any more or less significant political force, which would suggest a fundamental review and revision of the entire political ideological construction, and what is the most important thing - the historical "route" that Georgia has been following since 1980-ies. This would clarify the causes of the current difficult situation.

How many Georgians will still believe in the party, which led them to the political deadlock? But the point is not only in one party, but in the system, established over the past thirty years and characterized by extreme chauvinism, the ideological narrow-mindedness and cultivation of wild nationalistic prejudices that hinder rational thinking based on facts.

The way out of such crisis is possible if only the relations with Russia, South Ossetia and Abkhazia will be normalized. But in the current information and ideological policy, when all failures are explained solely by external factors, any move in this direction by a majority of the Georgian society will be perceived exclusively as a manifestation of lack of patriotism and defeatism.

Inal Pliev
International expert of IA "Res"

Where will the Georgian authorities lead their country?

18/12/2016 - 12:12

The Georgian population is seriously disappointed in democratic procedures and is gradually losing faith in the European course of development.

This is evidenced by the results of the recent parliamentary elections in Georgia. Experts have noted that turnout of voters was only half of the country's citizens. At the same time a considerable part of those who came to the polling stations experienced certain pessimism about the pro-Western policy of development of the Georgian state.

It indicates that Georgia is at a political deadlock, and more and more voters feel this fact.
The statements of the Georgian politicians that the Western course of development will enable them to become a full member of the EU and NATO failed to be implemented and led to disappointment.

The theme of the North Atlantic integration should be considered separately. Leaving aside the loud statements of the current president Mr. Margvelashvili and its predecessor, the criminal Saakashvili, it is interesting to know what concrete benefits Georgia has got from contacts with NATO.

Without NATO, Saakashvili would have never ventured into a bloody adventure in August 2008. The problem of resolving conflicts with South Ossetia and Abkhazia would have been remained under the ongoing negotiation process, very difficult, but not bloody. A lot of people would have survived.

Currently Georgian servicemen participate in all international NATO military operations all over the world, where NATO troops are fighting. Georgian servicemen are wounded, gave their lives for alien interests. On the territory of the country are periodically held military exercises with the involvement of the western contingent that does not contribute to peace and stability in the region. On the contrary, the main objective of the West is to incite Georgia against Russia, constantly trying to cash in on the issue of the "occupied territories".

Recently, on the territory of the joint NATO and Georgia's Center for training and assessment (JTEC) near Tbilisi have started the military exercises "NATO-Georgia 2016". This year it is the third multinational exercises on the territory of Georgia - after "Noble Partner" in May and "Agile Spirit" in September. There is a systematic build-up of scale and intensity of the operational training of the Georgian armed forces according to NATO standards with the active involvement of the command and staff structures of the Alliance.

The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of South Ossetia, as well as the press-service of the Defense Ministry of South Ossetia have stated that the measures to improve the level of combat readiness of the Armed Forces of Georgia by NATO, the constituent part of which is to hold the military exercises- is to support the confrontational policy of Georgia and strengthening its military and political ambitions. The leaders of the Washington Regional Committee force a fully under controlled Margvelashvili once again put the country on the verge of resuming military adventures.

Something similar happens with the issue of Georgia's accession to the EU. Brussels attracts Tbilisi by "membership", in fact, knowing well that a poverty-ridden country, and even with territorial claims to the independent states is absolutely useless for Europe. Even the visa liberalization the EU promises to the Georgians not the first year.

So where will lead Georgia its current president Mr. Margvelashvili and his supporters of European integration and Russophobia? Moreover, the impoverished people are less willing to believe in a beautiful fairy tale of Brussels and Washington about the beautiful future.

Inal Pliev,
International expert of IA "Res"

The results of the presidential elections in Georgia – the new name, the old anti-Russian course

29/10/2013 - 20:04

Presidential elections in Georgia have not brought sensations. The new head of state, as predicted almost all, has become the candidate of the ruling coalition "Georgian Dream", uninviting and uncharismatic George Margvelashvili. There was not a second round, his nearest rivals- the candidate of the former ruling party "United National Movement" David Bakradze and former Speaker of the Parliament Nino Burjanadze, together scored less than a third of votes.
But this is not so important. Since these elections, the presidential post in Georgia will be more symbolic than practical. In accordance with the amendments to the Constitution, adopted three years ago, the president's powers are greatly reduced, redistributed between the parliament and the government (controlled by the same "Georgian Dream "). Saakashvili`s era has become irrevocably a thing of the past.
The elections were not an arena for the struggle of ideologies. The top three candidates for the presidency demonstrated touching unanimity on the main directions of foreign policy. President-elect Margvelashvili, as well as Bakradze and Burjanadze, support Georgia's accession to NATO and the EU, rejecting the possibility of returning the country in the CIS ("Georgia is clearly moving in the direction of Europe ") and dreaming of "the restoration of the territorial integrity of Georgia," that means, the return of the independent states South Ossetia and Abkhazia that is, of course, impossible.
There is no doubt that the Georgian course "from Russia" and Euro-Atlantic integration will not change. It is also absurd to expect improvement of Russian-Georgian, Georgian- Ossetian and Georgian- Abkhazian relations, the evidence of which is a number of actions against the installation of barbed wire along the Georgian -South Ossetian border, collecting signatures for a petition against Georgia's participation in the Olympic Winter Games in Sochi ( since the beginning of October has already been collected 28,000 ), burning Russian flags and other such tricks, demonstrating the true approach of Tbilisi to establish inter-state relations.
A striking finishing touch is the reaction of the Georgian leadership to the participation of the Russian pilot Ivan Nechayev, who among other warriors repelled the Georgian aggression in August 2008, in the Olympic torch relay. "The government, which intends to improve relations with the neighboring country, should not behave so provocatively," - commented on the fact the offended government of Georgia. The problem for Tbilisi, as well as in recent years, is not in unleashing the war against South Ossetia, but only in the response of Russia to this inhumane action.
And «to establish relations», apparently, is fundamentally important not for Georgia, which has damaged them itself, but just for Russia.
And this is despite the fact that the Russian market, contrary to the interests of the consumer and the foreign policy objectives of the Russian Federation, has opened for the Georgian wine and mineral water "Borjomi " (which, frankly speaking, loses Russian mineral water both in quality and price ). What other unilateral concessions are required from the Russian side? ... But in Tbilisi are not ready to accept the reality. Georgian political circles still do not even realize such an obvious thing that the train of the "confederate Georgia" is off, and the order of the day is not the "return" of South Ossetia and Abkhazia, which will never happen, but the preservation of the territorial unity that yet remained. Not accidentally Margvelashvili, Bakradze and Burjanadze, as previously Saakashvili with Ivanishvili, during the pre-election campaign in various ways were singing an old song about «finding a common language with Abkhazians and Ossetians» and the construction of new Georgia," which will be interesting for both Abkhazians and Ossetians."
In the current circumstances, the personal composition of the Georgian leadership is not so important - it is still unable to cope with the challenges of the time. In Georgia in the foreseeable future there will be neither pro-Russian, nor pro-Georgian politicians, realizing the depth of the internal and external risks facing the state. For qualitative improvement of the Russian-Georgian relations it is absurd the claims against Russia, but the repentance of the Georgian leadership (and, more importantly, of the society) for the events of 2008 (or rather, for what was happening at least since 1989). But Georgia is proud of its "heroes." The country obviously needs external governance, and it is necessary to carry out the old methods - by a Russian governor-general from the Vorontsov Palace, situated on Rustaveli Avenue in Tbilisi.

Five years of the "August war": Interim Results

07/08/2013 - 18:09

Five years ago, on the night of August 8, 2008, the Georgian government committed a fatal strategic mistake. Overestimating the political support of the United States and having underestimated the moral obligations assumed by Russia, Tbilisi launched a war of aggression against South Ossetia, resulted in the predictable defeat of the Georgian military machine and the final loss of the two former Georgian autonomies.

Review of the Georgian media. Georgia in the international prostitution network is not able to recover from the scandal about the videos with scenes of tortures in prisons

30/07/2013 - 19:49

Catholicos-Patriarch of Georgia Ilya II said that Russian President Vladimir Putin had promised to return Georgian refugees to South Ossetia. This is stated in the article of the Georgian news website "Georgia Online" on July 28, 2013, "Ilya II hopes that Putin will fulfill the promise to return refugees."
It is noted in the article that "Catholicos-Patriarch of All Georgia Ilya II ho

Review of the Georgian media: Saakashvili's supporters are afraid of the investigation of the causes of the 2008 war and catastrophically lost their political influence

30/04/2013 - 14:25

The "brooms revolution" in Georgia, which resulted in a vast majority of parliamentary seats won by earlier oppositional "Georgian Dream" of the current Prime Minister of Georgia Bidzina Ivanishvili, brought about changes in the activity of the Georgian media. One can observe, which of them has been still exercising loyalty to President Mikhail Saakashvili, and who has already changed his policy and is supporting the new government.
News agency "Georgia Online," has not changed its editorial policy in favor of political trends, trying on an unaccustomed role of opposing to the new Georgian regime. It has been consistently criticizing the policy pursued by the Ivanishvili`s team, as one can see from the headlines. One of them (April 28, 2013) reads: "Ivanishvili assessed the election as "normal" and has again "bitten" the "United National Movement". Here, the Chairman of the Georgian government is compared to a dog ... (which bites).