If the Moscow's policy follows the inertial scenario, a series of new and painful "Khasavyurts" will be inevitable – an expert

Thu, 14/06/2012 - 14:41

Creation in the Kremlin of a new l agency on cooperation with the CIS countries, Abkhazia and South Ossetia has indicated that it is the CIS territory which is once again becoming a priority, and, in its potential, a trump card of the Russian leadership. This has been reported to IA "Res" by the expert, a Candidate for History, a coordinator of the working group of the Caucasus and Central Asia department of the Institute of Oriental Studies of the Russian Federation Alexander Skakov.

"It should be noted that V. Putin has always understood the importance and danger of this trend of the Russian policy. This is a sort of a sore spot of Russia, its vulnerable underbelly, where the external forces (their influence should not be overestimated, but nevertheless, their presence is not in doubt) could easily weaken its capacity, strike at its positions and, more importantly for them, divert its attention from other critical areas of the world "- said the expert.
According to Skakov, if someone wants Russia to leave to the mercy of fate (or rather, the West and the Gulf monarchies), Syria and Iran – one should make a strike at its interests in the Caucasus.
"For example, to separate Yerevan from the alliance with Moscow, create and exacerbate internal tension in Abkhazia and South Ossetia. On the other hand, the success of Russia in the CIS will enable it to lead with the positions of power (of course, reasonable and responsible) in the other regions of the world, secure it a peaceful and durable rear "- he said.
According to the expert, in relation to Tskhinval and Sukhum one can say, that the stability and economic prosperity of South Ossetia and Abkhazia will be the guarantee of success of Russia's foreign policy throughout the Caucasian region, "the same thing with respect to another region, may be applied toTransdniestria."
"I think, in attaching a new importance to Russia's role in the" big game" is the purpose of the updated policy of Moscow in the CIS countries and the creation of a special agency.
Otherwise, if the Moscow's policy follows the inertial scenario, a series of new and painful "Khasavyurts" will be inevitable.
Now let's see what will be the following appointments in this Department, who will deal with the specific regions and problems, what will be their first actions, "- said Skakov.
According to him, the people and agencies should be judged not by their name but by their deeds.

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