The impact of the wave of Russophobes` defeat in the US and Europe on the internal processes in Georgia
Many observers have noted that there are certain processes in the world which signify the attitude of the nations to the recent global political processes. Georgia is not the exception, which is sensitively reacting to the information and political, as well as ideological propaganda impulses coming from the NATO.
In the United States suffered a failure the policy of confrontation with Russia pursued by the group of Obama - Clinton. Due to the anti-Russian policy of the French President Francois Hollande has dramatically declined his rating, which deprived him of the opportunity to run for a second presidential term. Direct presidential elections in Bulgaria and the Republic of Moldova led to the victory of Rumen Radev and Igor Dodon supported by the followers of maintaining good relations with Russia. Against this background in Georgia is rapidly losing its popularity the party of Mikheil Saakashvili - United National Movement (UNM).
The refusal of Saakashvili`s wife Sandra Roelofs to participate in the second round of parliamentary elections in fact is connected with the decline of the party. The party leadership has come to the conclusion that even the personal involvement of the spouse of the head of the party will not contribute to strengthen the shaky confidence of the electorate. For political reasons it was preferred ambiguity in this matter to the apparent defeat of such icon as Sandra Roelofs.
United National Movement, the lion's share of funding of which comes from abroad, despite the estrangement from its founding father Mikhail Saakashvili, continues to maintain its policy of escalation of the situation in the Caucasus.
In the social network has filtered the information that during the preparations for the parliamentary elections, the top of the UNM hoped to receive the support of the Wahhabi part of the population of the Pankisi gorge of Georgia. And, in the light of the existing close contacts and the exchange of statements full of mutual courtesy between Saakashvili and Aslan Maskhadov, this information is credible. Reportedly, the party activists met with the leaders of Islamist groups. In addition, in the interests of UNM there are some Georgian organizations, similar in structure and methods of work with the Ukrainian "Right sector". What this means for the Georgian society we can judge by the example of Kiev`s "Maidan", when by orders from abroad neo-fascist thugs are ready to drown in blood their own people.
The analysis of the Georgian media allows making a conclusion about the split in UNM. Although Georgia does not need another revolution, but revolutionary rethinking of the traversed path, the differences within this major party are not strategic, but tactical. One part wants to dissociate themselves from the former president. Another, on the contrary, is trying to hold the all-party Congress to challenge the election results and the announcement of further support of Saakashvili. If both camps fail to agree, UNM as a serious political force may cease to exist.
However, the agreement is still a long way off. And is it possible any compromise, if a few days ago 20 employees of the central office of UNM were released from the job. According to the official version, this is due to the reduction in the party financing by 100 thousand GEL. However, for such major parties it is not such a significant amount to be reduced. In fact, from the UNM are forced away supporters of Mikhail Saakashvili.
While UNM went bankrupt in the most important areas of its policy, which was carried out when he was in power, the reality is that currently in Georgia does not exist any more or less significant political force, which would suggest a fundamental review and revision of the entire political ideological construction, and what is the most important thing - the historical "route" that Georgia has been following since 1980-ies. This would clarify the causes of the current difficult situation.
How many Georgians will still believe in the party, which led them to the political deadlock? But the point is not only in one party, but in the system, established over the past thirty years and characterized by extreme chauvinism, the ideological narrow-mindedness and cultivation of wild nationalistic prejudices that hinder rational thinking based on facts.
The way out of such crisis is possible if only the relations with Russia, South Ossetia and Abkhazia will be normalized. But in the current information and ideological policy, when all failures are explained solely by external factors, any move in this direction by a majority of the Georgian society will be perceived exclusively as a manifestation of lack of patriotism and defeatism.
Inal Pliev
International expert of IA "Res"